The 19th century gave us, in Darwinism, an explanation of how
life and human beings could have developed without the intervention of God.
The 20th century has given us an account of how the universe could
have come to be with the intervention of God. Yet while atheists may have
an alternative explanation of human origins that does not involve God, I
would argue that cosmology, far from denying the existence of God, offers
fresh evidence of God’s existence.
There has to be a certain skepticism when dealing with theories of evolution
and cosmology. Very often these theories are touted as proven scientific
facts but when you look at them closely there are gaps, leaps, anomalies
and disputes. It is as if a child is claiming to have completed a jigsaw
puzzle but when you check you discover that most of the pieces are missing,
some of the remaining pieces don’t fit anywhere and some of the pieces
have been forced together. Despite this, though, enough has been done to
enable us to see what the whole picture might look like – though the
possibility remains that in the future we will find more of the missing pieces
and a better arrangement and then a new picture will emerge.
The current idea of cosmologists is the big bang theory. According to this
idea the universe began about 15 billion years ago with all the matter and
energy of the universe compressed together at a single point (it would have
fitted on the end of a pin and still have left room for several squadrons
of dancing angels). This mass and energy explodes outwards, forming atoms
mainly of hydrogen and helium which under gravity come together to form galaxies
and stars.
The earliest version of the big bang theory was first put forward in the
1930’s by the priest and astronomer Georges-Henri Lemaitre. He called
it "Hypothese de l’atome primitif" – the whole universe born from
a single primeval atom or quantum of energy. The idea was resisted by Einstein
and others. Fred Hoyle put forward an alternative – the steady state
theory (a perpetual universe renewed by the infusion and removal of matter)
and the arguments went back and forth.
The main evidence for this theory comes from the current expansion of the
universe, the cosmic background radiation, and the relative abundance of
the elements. In the 1930’s Hubble showed that the galaxies were moving
away from each other and that their speed was roughly proportional to their
distance from us. The implication was that in the past they were much, much
closer together. Using the Cobe satellite George Smoot and his team were
able to investigate the cosmic background radiation, the remains of the flash
of the big bang. They discovered fine fluctuations in the background which
speak of an initial non-uniformity which eventually, through gravity gave
rise to galaxies and stars. As a result of these discoveries the big bang
theory is widely held by scientists to be correct.
This answer to the question of the origin of the universe raises the usual
raft of questions: how can we know what happened 15 billion years ago? What
is the eventual fate of the universe? What was there before the beginning?
What evidence is there of design and a creator?
3.2 How can we know what happened 15 billion years ago?
In the book of Job (38:4) the Lord asks: "Where wert thou when I created
the heavens and the earth?" Less poetically Steven Weinberg, in his book
"The first Three Minutes" admits on pg. 18: "I cannot deny a feeling of unreality
in writing about the first three minutes as if we really know what we are
talking about." Someone else commented that there is speculation, pure
speculation and cosmology. We have to distinguish between observation,
experiment, theory, and wishful thinking. Of course even the observations
are not necessarily pure facts; for example Hubble, in 1929, after observing
the red shift of nearby galaxies drew the conclusion that their velocity
is proportional to their distance. Weinberg comments (cited book pg. 35):
"Actually a look at Hubble’s data leaves me perplexed how he could reach
such a conclusion." Science often proceeds by leaping ahead of the facts
-hoping that the facts will catch up!
It does appear though that, at least for the broad outline of the big bang
theory, the facts are falling into place but in the last analysis we cannot
directly observe the big bang itself, nor can we reproduce it in a test tube.
In addition we may not be able to produce rigorous mathematical proofs –
it has taken over 200 years to prove Fermat's last theorem, while Godel's
incompleteness theorem has shown that there is a limit to what can be proved.
The mathematics of cosmology involves a large number of assumptions, and
dubious mathematical tricks. The physicists’ grand pronouncements should
therefore be taken with a certain amount of salt.
3.3 What is the eventual fate of the universe?
We now observe a universe which is expanding. It has two possible futures.
One is that eventually because of gravity the universe will stop expanding
and start to contract. In this view, "the big crunch", all the mass of the
universe will accelerate under gravity to a single point once more in a gigantic
reverse of the big bang; this would be very bad news for any life forms about
at the time.
The other possibility is that the universe will continue to expand. As billions
of years go by, stars will extinguish as their fuel runs out, more and more
of the matter in the universe will be locked up in black holes or spread
very thinly as a gas. The temperature of the universe will decrease as its
entropy increases. There would be fewer and fewer energy sources for any
surviving life forms as the universe becomes increasingly inert. While both
these scenarios are billions of years in the future neither is particularly
attractive. At present the infinity expansion seems more likely – so
it all ends not with a bang but a whimper.
3.4 What was there before the beginning?
The idea of a beginning point when the universe came into being has been
resisted by many scientists this century because it indicates that the reason
for the universe’s existence will lie beyond science in a divine act
of creation. Einstein’s initial equations for his theory of general
relativity suggested a universe which would be dynamic, either expanding
or contracting. However the astronomers of his day considered the universe,
on the large scale, to be static. Einstein therefore added a "cosmological
constant" to fix his equations. After Hubble showed the universe to be expanding
Einstein referred to the cosmological constant as his greatest mistake. However
recent observations of distant galaxies have shown that they are moving much
faster than expected and some variant of the cosmological constant may have
to be reintroduced into the theory. The idea of a big bang was famously opposed
by Fred Hoyle and his Steady State Theory. In this view the universe had
always existed with stars being born and dying all the time. The universe
would have always existed – it is a brute fact requiring no supernatural
creation.
We how have in the big bang an apparent moment of creation; one moment there
is nothing – no mass, energy, space or time, then flash every thing
comes to be. Physicists are well aware that the ultimate question of where
it all came from may be beyond scientific explanation. The astrophysicist
Robert Jarrow, in his book "God and the Astronomers" describes his final
nightmare like this:
"The scientist has scaled the mountains of ignorance; he is about to conquer
the highest peak; as he pulls himself over the final rock, he is greeted
by a band of theologians who have been sitting there for centuries." (Quoted
in Smoot’s Wrinkles in Time, page 293). Scientists are making ingenious
attempts to explain how the universe could come into being without bringing
God into it.
Stephen Hawking argues that there was no beginning point. Hawking is not
so much trying to avoid a starting point as a singularity at the beginning.
If at the beginning all the mass / energy of the universe is somehow compressed
at a single point in space time, then all the mathematics that we use to
describe this physical state breaks down in a cascade of infinities. Hawking
invokes a concept called imaginary time. He argues that at the beginning
the density of matter would warp space and time together – so that there
is no longer a zero time.
One way of visualising this is to represent the volume of the universe as
a circle, with time as a vertical axis. As we move back in time (the direction
of the arrow) the volume of the universe shrinks tracing out the cone above
until we reach the very beginning represented by the apex of the cone. Hawking,
however, says that under the extreme conditions at the very beginning, the
whole geometry of space time gets squished (squished is an advanced mathematical
word). Add into this some quantum uncertainty and we are most certainly in
a strange realm where time loses its meaning. But all of this applies to
an incredibly small fraction of a second at the start of the big bang. Nor
is there any reason to suppose that this imaginary time is somehow more basic
than normal time; indeed time is one of the most basic aspects of our experience.
It has also been argued by Alan Guth and others that the universe is the
ultimate free lunch. Mass and energy are brought into an empty vacuum by
a quantum fluctuation. The positive energy of the mass of the particles is
offset by the negative energy of their gravitational attraction. The argument
is essentially an extension of quantum mechanics which does support the creation
of pairs of virtual particles. It is, though, quite a leap from the creation
of elementary particles to the spontaneous creation of a whole universe of
mass and energy.
We should beware of course of "God of the gaps", that is, introducing God
as a divine explanation of something that is beyond scientific explanation
at the time. This "God of the gaps" is diminished every time a scientific
discovery is made. The question of the beginning has a psychological appeal
as being something absolute and fundamental and demanding divine explanation
but it could just be another gap.
(There is of course "science of the gaps" – just as nature abhors a
vacuum so someone will rush in with theories to explain every circumstance.
Sometimes theories which owe a great deal to feverish imagination and a certain
over-ingenuity are defended and propagated with evangelical zeal until they
become the orthodox faith of part of the science community.)
It may well be however that because the beginning involves a unique singularity
it will always be beyond scientific explanation. But even if it can be shown
that the laws of physics make the spontaneous creation of the universe possible
or even likely, we would still then face an even bigger and more fundamental
question: where do the laws of physics come from?
3.5 What evidence is there of design and a creator?
The most famous argument from design is Paley’s watchmaker. Paley argued
that if we walk along the beach and we pick up a pebble then we would recognise
that it had been shaped by natural forces: broken from a rock by erosion,
rounded by the action of sea and waves. But Paley argues: suppose instead
of picking up a pebble we chance upon a watch; even if we had never seen
a watch before we would deduce from its perfect form, and its intricate mechanism
that it was the product of an intelligent designer. Now, says Paley, consider
say the human hand with its complexity, should we not conclude that there
is a divine watchmaker who designed and formed us?
Of course these days you would probably find a digital watch, designed by
a computer and produced by a robot. Somehow moving from this to God as the
ultimate robotic computer hasn’t the same appeal.
There are of course more serious objections. Many would argue that the human
body is not the result of design but that it is the result of millions of
years of evolution and natural selection. Evolution is the blind watchmaker
– there is no intelligence merely a process.
Below is a picture taken from the Mandlebrot set. It is quite possible that
someone who wasn’t familiar with it would assume that it was the work
of an artist. In fact it is computer generated from a fairly simple formula
which gives rise to a complex fractal pattern.
Yet even in the picture of the Mandlebrot set there is design. We choose
to investigate this particular equation because it gives rise to nice pictures.
The physical laws and the physical constants make possible the rich universe
that we observe with galaxies, stars, planets and people. It is possible
to show that even very slight changes in the values of physical laws would
make all of this impossible. Freeman Dyson has shown that if the strong nuclear
force were only a few percent weaker or stronger there would be dire consequences
for the basic nuclear chemistry of hydrogen and helium which supplies the
energy to make the stars shine. Dyson is quoted as saying "The more I examine
the universe and the details of its architecture, the more evidence I find
that the universe in some sense must have know that we were coming." (Quoted
in George Smoot: Wrinkles in time pg 293) Smoot also points out (same book
same page) that slight variation in the excess of protons over antiprotons
– one billion to one billion and one – might have produced a universe
with no baryonic matter (i.e. no atoms) or a cataclysmic plentitude of it.
Had the expansion rate of the universe one second after the big bang been
smaller by one part in a hundred thousand trillion, the universe would have
recollapsed long ago. An expansion more rapid by one part in a million would
have excluded the formation of stars and planets.
Brandon Carter has show that if the force of gravity altered by one part
in 1040 then the balance of forces inside stars would alter
drastically. Nice yellow stars like ours would not exist – stars would
all be either blue giants or red dwarfs. (Both of these examples are quoted
in Paul Davies: God and the New Physics, pg. 187,188)
The big bang produced only the two lightest elements hydrogen and helium.
The other elements (oxygen, carbon, calcium, iron etc) that make up our bodies
can only be produced in the heart of stars. Fred’s Hoyle’s work
in the 50’s, on the nuclear alchemy that takes place in the heart of
stars, showed that the key to producing these heavier elements was the very
precise properties of isotopes such as beryllium 8, carbon 12 and oxygen
16 which act as stepping stones to the heavier elements. If the energy states
of these particular nuclei were not just as they are then the process would
not be possible. (Detailed in article by Marchus Chown, New Scientist
6th June 1998, pg. 28.) Recently Fred Holye commented: "The universe
is an obvious fix, there are too many things which look accidental which
are not." (quoted in John Horgan: The End of Science pg. 109).
The mystery is not why the planet earth is at just the right distance from
the sun with just the right conditions to form life. It can always be argued
that given billions of billions of stars and planets there must be a good
chance of there being at least one which is just right. The real mystery
is why there should be any planets or stars at all. It is very tempting to
conclude that the universe is thus proved to be designed and that therefore
there is a designer, and so we prove the existence of God. But there are
two other possibilities (at least). One is that when we actually manage to
unify the whole of physics we will then see in the mathematics that there
is only one solution possible, one set of physical constants. But would that
remove the wonder or add to it? For we would then have the precise values
required for life also forming one set of elegant mathematics. The other
possibility is that an infinite number of universes exist, exploring all
the possible values of physical constants and indeed all conceivable mathematical
structures. This is the view put forward by Max Tegmark. But how could we
verify that these others universes exist, and what mechanism could possibly
be spawning them. (Article in New Scientist previously cited).
3.6 Entropy
We first encounter the concept of entropy in a nursery rhyme:
"Humpty Dumpty sat on a wall, Humpty Dumpty had a great fall,
All the king’s horses and all the king’s men couldn’t put
Humpty together again."
It is simple to break an egg and whisk together the white and the yolk, but
if you were asked then to separate the white from the yolk and to put it
back in its shell you would have some difficulty, even though you still have
all the bits of the egg. What has been lost is the order.
The concept of entropy is tied up with the order and disorder of the universe.
It is there in the second law of thermodynamics which states that the amount
of energy available for work is always decreasing. It is tied up with the
direction of time. On seeing a china vase fall off the mantelpiece and shattered
into a million pieces, a normal human being would say "My Ming vase!" but
a physicist would say "Entropy has increased". But we do not see the pieces
of vase jumping back together, reforming the vase and leaping back onto the
mantle piece. It is summed up in the line of the hymn "Change and decay in
all around I see."
Some have tried to use the concept of entropy to show that because entropy
tends to increase, the process of evolution is impossible. Order tends to
decrease so we cannot go from a soup of organic chemicals to one cell life,
and then to apes and men. But it is quite possible to have a local decrease
in entropy, provided there is an increase somewhere else. So we can plant
an acorn and a highly complex tree grows. The energy to do this has come
from the sunlight. In the sun nuclear fuel has been used up, hydrogen has
been fused to helium, so the overall entropy of the system has still increased.
There is however a difficulty. In 1953 Stanley Millar sought to reproduce
the conditions on the early Earth, bringing water, nitrogen and methane together
with an electrical discharge to mimic lightning. This produced amino acids,
the building blocks of proteins. It is however a considerable jump from amino
acid to DNA. The DNA of even a simple bacteria when written as a sequence
will fill a bible with its letters. Even with billions of gallons of sea
water and millions of years the odds against forming such a molecule by chance
are astronomical. Even then DNA cannot reproduce without the help of enzymes,
and a cell wall to hold it all together.
Fred Hoyle has commented that the spontaneous generation of life on earth,
would have been as likely as the assemblage of a 747 aircraft by a tornado
passing through a junkyard. (Quoted in Horgan: The End of Science pg. 106).
There are ideas and theories out there of course, including Hoyle’s
suggestion that life floated in from outer space. Francis Crick, who discovered
the structure of DNA wrote: "The origin of life appears to be almost a miracle
so many are the conditions which would have to be required to get it going."
The origin of life is the Achilles heel of evolutionary theory. However if
we jump in to point to God as explanation we risk the gap being filled by
the discovery of some chemical with an ability to reproduce, evolve and form
longer chains. But even if this gap is never filled many will prefer an
explanation in terms of some wildly improbable fluke to an explanation in
terms of design and God.
Roger Penrose (The Emperor’s New Mind) sets out to calculate the entropy
of the universe and the entropy of its starting point in the big bang. Because
the entropy of the universe is constantly increasing then the big bang is
the point of lowest entropy in the history of the universe. Far from being
some kind of highly disordered explosive state, the initial state is highly
ordered with all the matter of the universe at a single point. Penrose calculates
that the initial conditions were precise to one part in ten to the power
ten to the power one hundred and twenty three. This is the biggest number
that you are ever likely to come across – if you were to write it down
on the back of an envelope as a one followed by zeros then you would need
enough envelopes to fill the galaxy if not the whole universe. Penrose is
comfortable speaking about the precise aim of the Creator. Does this mean
that we have now shown that there is virtually zero probability of the big
bang being a random event? No, because the alternative conclusion can be
drawn that there is a constraint on initial singularity. It is also quite
possible to argue that the universe did not begin in any special state, rather
negative entropy was supplied by its expansion and by gravity.
It would be rather nice to use entropy to argue that the universe must have
started in a state of extreme order which could only be supplied by one of
infinitely higher order whom we call God. But we cannot do this. The second
law of thermodynamics does allow for entropy to decrease locally as long
as it is compensated elsewhere, so evolution can occur. In the presence of
gravity gas will tend to clump together to form stars and galaxies which
actually have a higher entropy (are less ordered) than a uniform dispersion
of gas. We should also beware of the connotations of language; words like
order and ordered are metaphors for low entropy, they do not mean organised
and imply an organiser. So we can describe the initial condition of the big
bang as being highly ordered and even put a value on it, or we can describe
it as a very simple condition which degenerates as entropy increases into
the universe we now see. |